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DAY ONE Monday 6 July 2009
09.30
Opening remarks
Bernice Lee
Research Director for Energy, Environment and Resource Governance
Chatham House
Chair
Hans Joachim Schellnhuber
Director
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
Opening Keynote Address
Halldor Thorgeirsson (on the record)
Director
Bali Road Map Support
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)
Questions and discussion
Session One
Defining Success on Climate Change Agreement
This session will define the success of agreement at the UNFCCC's meeting in Copenhagen in December 2009.
- What are the parameters for success on a climate change agreement?
- Based on prevailing scientific opinion, what are the essential elements of multilateral climate change agreement to avoid dangerous climate change? What are the basic minimum targets that should be met in the agreement? What should the timing be?
- What would be the impact of a less ambitious deal on climate security?
- What are credible targets - tough enough to have an impact, realistic to implement? For rich countries? For poor countries?
Keynote Speaker
Hans Joachim Schellnhuber (on the record)
Director
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
Speakers
Graeme Sweeney
Executive Vice President
Future Fuels & CO2
Shell International Petroleum Co Ltd
Nick Mabey
Chief Executive
E3G Third Generation Environmentalism
Questions and discussion
11.05 Refreshments
Session Two
Making the Politics Work
This session will outline the main political challenges to reaching agreement.
- What is the state of play of the UN discussions politically? Will agreement be reached in Copenhagen at the end of 2009?
- What national targets are rich countries (the EU, USA, Australia, Japan) likely to agree to meet, using which baselines, and by when? What policies and measures will developed countries ask developing countries to adopt?
- How quickly is the new US administration deciding on its priorities for climate change? Will the US Congress be ready to ratify an international climate treaty?
- Will governments persevere in putting a price on carbon? How ambitious will developed countries be in the light of business concerns about competition from non-signatories, especially in a recession? Will governments be bold enough with carbon pricing to incentivize investment in clean technology? Can this be reconciled with business clamouring for regulatory clarity?
- What will developing and least developed countries ask for in order to reach agreement? Developing countries have agreed to deviate from business as usual (BAU), but when by? How will 'common but differentiated responsibilities' be interpreted?
- The respective roles of China, Russia, and the USA in reaching international agreement.
Chair
Dr Robin Niblett
Director
Chatham House
11.35
Keynote Speakers
Joan Ruddock MP (on the record)
Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State
Department for Energy and Climate Change, UK
Questions and discussion
Ambassador Kevin Conrad (on the record)
Prime Minister's Special Envoy & Ambassador for Environment and Climate Change
Department of the Prime Minister and National Executive Council
Papua New Guinea
Questions and discussion
12.25 Lunch
Making the Politics Work (continued)
Chair
Rob Bradley
Director of International Climate Policy
World Resources Institute
14.00
Speakers
Rosario Bento Pais
Deputy Head of Unit
DG Environment, European Commission
Elliot Diringer
Vice President, International Strategies
Pew Center on Global Climate Change
Anna Korppoo
Senior Researcher
Finnish Institute of International Affairs
Roland Verstappen
Vice President, International Affairs,
ArcelorMittal
Questions and discussion
15.45 Refreshments
Moderated panel discussion: Achieving a 450ppm pathway: the abatement, financing and mechanisms required
16.15
Chair
Dr Tomas KÃ¥berger
Director-General
Swedish Energy Agency
Panellists
Jules Kortenhorst
Chief Executive Officer
The European Climate Foundation
Elliot Diringer
Vice President, International Strategies
Pew Center on Global Climate Change
Nitin Desai
Distinguished Fellow
The Energy and Resources Institute, India
Bernice Lee
Research Director for Energy, Environment and Resource Governance
Chatham House
17.30 End of day and drinks reception hosted by Chatham House
DAY TWO Tuesday 7 July 2009
Session Three
Elements of the Deal
This session will focus on the crucial elements of a global climate change deal.
- What are the essential elements and which elements are important but add-ons? Which elements will be supported by which negotiators?
- How would the elements work and achieve scale?
- What are the mechanisms and how can they be measured, reported, and verified (MRV-ed)?
• How will they be financed? - Technology Transfer
o How can the parties to the conference get beyond deadlock on technology transfer? - Forest finance and Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation (REDD)
- Sectoral approaches
- The Clean Development Mechanism (CDM)
Chair
Michael Grubb
Visiting Professor of Climate Change and Energy Policy
Imperial College, London
9.30
Speakers
Martin Khor
Executive Director
The South Centre
John Lanchbery
Principal Climate Change Advisor
Royal Society for the Protection of Birds (RSPB)/ Birdlife
Vincent Mages
Vice President, Climate Change Initiatives
Lafarge
Henry Derwent
President and CEO
International Emissions Trading Association
Panel discussion
Martin Khor
John Lanchbery
Vincent Mages
Henry Derwent
Vanessa Havard-Williams
Global Head of Environment and Climate Change
Linklaters
Guy Ryder
General Secretary
International Trade Union Confederation
10.50 Refreshments
High Level Finance Panel
- How are government economic stimuli to shift investment and financial flows into low carbon technologies and infrastructure working?
- Within the UN process, what are the tools and mechanisms that can and will enhance financing for mitigation, adaptation and technology co-operation?
o Allocation, access, modes of disbursement and MRV-ing delivery of financial support
o The roles of international public finance, and national public sector and private sector finance
Chair
Kirsty Hamilton
Associate Fellow
Chatham House
11.20
Keynote Speaker
Achim Steiner (on the record)
Executive Director
United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)
Questions and discussion
Moderated Panel Discussion
Achim Steiner
Executive Director
United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)
Dr Tomas KÃ¥berger
Director-General
Swedish Energy Agency
Ambassador Abdalmahmood Abdalhaleem Mohamad
Permanent Representative of the Republic of the Sudan to the United Nations and
Chairman of the Group of 77
Nitin Desai
Distinguished Fellow
The Energy and Resources Institute, India
Richard Burrett
Partner
Earth Capital Partners LLP
12.40 Lunch
Session Four
Beyond the Deal:
Targets, timing, implementation, and complementary action
- How ambitious will agreement at Copenhagen manage to be?
- Are the political and economic conditions right for reaching agreement? What is the extent of political commitment of the main players to reach agreement? Which governments see agreement as being in their broader economic interest?
- How specific does agreement need to be? What is fundamental to agreement, and what, given the amount of detail that has yet to be addressed or resolved, can be settled after agreement? Can a principal agreement and its mechanisms be in place, with defining action to be settled after 2009?
- What needs to be done to enhance ratification and implementation?
- What are the complementary and supporting routes to agreement on climate action? The EU Presidency? The G8? Bilateral agreements between major players?
- How effective will governments' green stimulus packages be?
- What will business do if agreement is not reached?
- What political, regulatory and fiscal frameworks are necessary to deliver low carbon regimes?
Chair
Nick Mabey
Chief Executive
E3G Third Generation Environmentalism
13.40
Expert panel
Christian Hald-Mortensen
Advisor, International Coordination (COP-15)
Ministry of Climate and Energy
Denmark
Tom Delay
Chief Executive
The Carbon Trust
Mark Kenber
Policy Director
The Climate Group
Rob Bradley
Director of International Climate Policy
World Resources Institute
15.15 Refreshments and end of conference
© The Royal Institute of International Affairs, 2009
Testimonial
"Excellent program and organization of topics."
Olga Jonas, The World Bank
KEYNOTE SPEAKERS
Halldor Thorgeirsson
Director Bali Road Map Support, United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
Kevin Conrad
Prime Minister's Special Envoy & Ambassador for Environment and Climate Change
Department of the Prime Minister and National Executive Council, Papua New Guinea
Joan Ruddock MP
Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State
Department for Energy and Climate Change, UK
Hans Joachim Schellnhuber
Director
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
Achim Steiner
Executive Director
United Nations Environment Programme
The Chatham House Rule
To enable as open a debate as possible, this conference will be held under the Chatham House Rule.