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Preliminary Analysis of the Voting Figures in Iran’s 2009 Presidential Election

Programme Paper
Ali Ansari, Daniel Berman and Thomas Rintoul, June 2009

Download Paper here

Working from the province by province breakdowns of the 2009 and 2005 results, released by the Iranian Ministry of Interior, and from the 2006 census as published by the official Statistical Centre of Iran, this paper offers some observations about the official data and the debates surrounding the 2009 Iranian Presidential Election.

Paper Dissemination

• The New York Times, Answering Your Iran Questions, 26 June 2009
• BBC News, Iran: Where Did All the Votes Come From?, 23 June 2009
• Fox News, Iran Guardian Council Rules Out New Election, 23 June 2009
• The Guardian, Magic Numbers, 22 June 2009
• The Daily Telegraph, Mousavi Urges More Protests as Iran's Hardline Leadership Arrests Opposition Member's Family, 22 June 2009
• The Times, Claims of Vote-Rigging in Iran Backed by British Academics' Analysis, 22 June 2009
• The Wall Street Journal, Heavy Security Reins in Iranian Protests, 22 June 2009
• Los Angeles Times, Iran: Independent Study Finds Irregularities in Election Results, 22 June 2009
• CNN, Survey Raises Questions About Iran Vote Results, 21 June 2009
• The New York Times, Unrest in Iran Sharply Deepens Rift Among Clerics, 21 June 2009
• The Financial Times, Tensions Deepen as UK Rebuffs Tehran Claims, 21 June 2009
• Huffington Post, Iran Election Live-Blogging, 21 June 2009
• The Guardian, Iran in Turmoil: Live, 21 June 2009
• The New York Times, Updates on Iran's Turmoil, 21 June 2009